Will the address run longer than 40 minutes?
politics
Status: resolved
This prediction market asks whether a political address will exceed 40 minutes in duration. Traders predict based on historical speech patterns, the significance of the occasion, and any advance information about the agenda. The market resolves once the official duration is confirmed.
The market resolves to 'Yes' if the official duration of the address, measured from the first substantive word spoken to the final closing statement, exceeds 40 minutes and 00 seconds. The market resolves to 'No' if the address duration is 40 minutes and 00 seconds or less. Timing will be determined by the official broadcast timestamp or verified media reports from reputable Kenyan news outlets.
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%