Will Gachagua run for President in 2027
politics
Status: open
This market resolves based on whether Rigathi Gachagua, Kenya's former Deputy President who was impeached in October 2024, formally declares candidacy and runs for President in Kenya's 2027 general election. Gachagua has remained politically active since his impeachment and has hinted at future political ambitions. The market concerns whether he will take the formal step of running for the highest office.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if Rigathi Gachagua officially files nomination papers with the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) as a presidential candidate for the 2027 general election, or if he is formally declared a presidential candidate by a registered political party for the 2027 election. The market resolves to 'No' if Gachagua does not file nomination papers or is not declared as a presidential candidate by the candidate registration deadline set by IEBC for the 202…
- Yes — 32%
- No — 68%